Do we know everything about China? Facts you'll never hear on the news

To
The Editor

Sub:- China is not as powerful and secure as Kissinger thinks

Ref:- (i)- Democratic uprising in NAME countries has invalidated
Kissinger’s premises in his book ‘On China’

(ii)- China is the main looser of ‘Cold War’.

(iii)- Confrontation between President and Congress over ‘War Power Act’
about Libya etc. bound to influence US policy on ‘democratization of the
world’.

(iv)- Stalemate in ‘war on terror’ in Afghanistan and in Iraq too, will
also constrain USA to change its global policies.

(v)- On-going economical hardship for Americans, will also decide the future
course of US global policies.

(vi)- All these and concern for permanent security of Israel, will constrain
USA to go for ‘League of Democracies’ with replacement of optional
protocol (OP1) with mandatory protocol (MP1) of ICCPR of UN.

(vii)- This ‘League of Democracies’ bound to come in conflict with China
especially over exploitation of natural resources including oil, if not so
much on the issue of human rights & freedom.

(viii)- With present large economy due to globalization, China does not have
option, to isolate itself, as it had up to 1980.

(ix)- In addition to history of unease in Tibet and Xingjian, economical
studies of China by western world may cause resentment in other parts of
China too.

(x)- Despite likely further economical rise of China for some more time, the
lead in military affairs and economy will be ultimately decided by advance in
Science & Technology.

(xi) There is no other human group on earth which can surpass USA & its
western allies in the advance of Science & Technology.

(xii)- With the history of huge support to Taiwan by Americans & their
Congress, the US Government will not hesitate in disowning ‘three
communiqués’ which support ‘One China’

(xiii)- Taiwan may exploit these developments to aspire for ‘two China’
with claim on lower half of China.

(xiv)- With Dalai Lama & Tibetans in India and humiliating defeat in 1962
war, India may be crucial factor to be exploited by US lead ‘League of
Democracies’ in the emergence of ‘Two China’.

(xv)- Veterans of ‘World War’ & also ‘Cold War’ (Russia and Japan)
are not going to remain passive and dormant for ever, in China & Pacific
matters.

(xvi)- China should ensure that minimum damage happens to China in the
emerging scenario

Dear Sir

Though Dr. Henry Kissinger dealt with events up to January 2011 in his
otherwise brilliantly written book “On China”, and turbulent events in
North Africa & Middle East (NAME) countries of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Syria,
Yemen, Bahrain etc for democracy mainly took place after this period,
therefore Kissinger has not taken these gigantic and far reaching
developments in his reckoning while overestimating China. But there is no
reason why a person of such an enviable background as Kissinger should have
underestimated the compelling and road-rolling power of ‘free market
democracy’, in promoting false complacency in China by speculating about
the rosy future and fate of ‘People’s Republic of China’ in the form of
‘co-evolution of Pacific community’ or highly important role for China in
coming world affairs.

Rather on the contrary China faces uncertain future and should marshal its
all the energy and capabilities, in ensuring that minimum damage happens to
China in the emerging scenario, as given below:-

(1)- Kissinger is unnecessarily over-awed by the ancientness of civilization
of China. The soft power of ancientness of civilizations across the world is
no match for the soft power of ‘free market democracy’. It is surprising
that Kissinger could not understand that China is the biggest looser of
‘cold war’. Because after ‘cold war’ mainly China is left to carry
the burden of defunct and inefficient socialism / communism while USA &
Allies has rescued their European Christian brother Russia from the dead
weight of socialism / communism. Politics always has precedence over economy
therefore democracy will always have precedence over free market. Therefore
some opening of china to free market forces will not help China unless it
adopts democracy.

(2)- Free market democracies (USA & its western allies) have already taken
care of rough spots of capitalism and presently USA practices ‘Joint
Capitalism’ by imbibing in capitalism the humane aspect of socialism /
communism. In USA 90 % of the economy is run by ‘private capital’ but
welfare programs for removing unemployment, health care and education etc is
taken care of by ‘State capital’ with the result presently USA has public
debt (born out of fiscal deficit) of above $ 14 trillion.

(3)- Though due to inertia, USA is (i)- not giving free health care to
its majority of economically humble citizens by involving social organization
through State (despite collecting adequate 8 % GDP of about $ 1.12 Trillion
from citizens in taxes) (ii)- not removing huge unemployment /
underemployment by granting right to work and employment guarantee program
(iii)- not practicing federalism with the result facing myriad problems at
national and international level (iv)- not observing monetary discipline by
ensuring equal asset (under physical or constructive possession of money
issuing authority) back up to currency (v)- not checking fiscal indiscipline
and continues to treat fiscal deficit as % age of GDP instead of % age of
consolidated fund of governments (vi)- not converting income tax into
consumption tax with the result government here in the State of Minnesota is
already shut down and many more may follow in USA due to unnecessary so
called ‘class warfare’ and (vii)- not stopping harm to corporate culture
being caused by double taxation on it through corporate tax and also dividend
tax –

But there is nothing to be done or added at ideological level to its ‘free
market democracy’ ideology. Any day when USA decides to shed its inertia,
USA will transform itself smoothly in a way which will be role model worthy
for emulation by other democratic countries, including developing countries
too.

(4)- With this ideological readiness USA & its western allies have been in a
position to democratize entire world after victory in cold war. But USA out
of its isolationism (due to its prosperity in mostly water locked huge
territory) and inertia does not move unless its interests are immediately
threatened. USA & its western allies are under no illusion that democracy
will bring world peace, as Kissinger has also observed in this book that
world wars were fought mainly by European democracies only, with harrowing
immense loss of life and properties. But USA & its western allies certainly
believe that democracy is a better tool against terrorism - which they still
dread most, especially after 9/11 etc.

(5)- USA & its western allies also know that that in developing countries
especially in Muslim countries fundamentalism always gain ascendancy (as is
evident from the case of democratic Pakistan too where Laden was found living
for years in Abbottabad in the vicinity of military establishment and in
national capital region). Therefore USA is worried about rise of
fundamentalism in NAME countries (with unprecedented threat to Israel) once
democracy is ultimately installed over there and also in Afghanistan and Iraq
once USA & Allies completely comes out of these countries within next 3
years. USA is also aware of the fact (as being openly being alleged by ex –
CIA officers etc in US media) that USA has lost the ‘war on terror’ to
fundamentalists in Afghanistan and Iraq.

(6)- The on-going confrontation between White House and Congress over ‘War
Power Act’ on Libya etc. is bound to influence US policy in such a profound
way that USA & allies will see to it that democracy comes not only to all the
NAME countries but also the ‘democratization of the world’ is taken up in
earnest and inexorably.

(7)- Because of importance of NAME region due to petroleum oil which is
needed by entire world (i)- USA & Allies will not stop before installing a
permanent mechanism for military and other intervention in NAME countries in
case fundamentalism or serious threat to human rights emerges over there
during democracy and (ii)- Democratic NAME countries will never allow such
intervention through UN unless they also have justifiable & effective say in
such mechanism.

(8)- This is bound to lead USA to launch a forum (some thing like ‘League
of Democracies’ as has been suggested by Senator McCain also) preferably
within UN and may be even out of UN if veto of some nations comes in its way.
This with replacement of optional protocol (OP1) with mandatory protocol
(MP1) of ICCPR of UN, with voting rights (for military, para – military,
civil intervention in trouble countries) to member countries on the basis of
formulae based on contribution (of armed forces, ammunitions, war equipments
& machineries, finances etc) in the first phase (launching of
‘International Political Parties’ may be in subsequent phase).

(9)- With ‘League of Democracies’ in place with preferential treatment to
member countries in the distribution of natural resources of ‘wealth of
democracies’, the ease with which China so far has been able to get natural
resources including petroleum oil from entire world would be put in serious
jeopardy. What to talk of developing countries even presently economically
battered developed country like USA has started discussing in media that in
Afghanistan under protective umbrella of democratic USA & Allies the
communist China is gaining billions of dollars by exploiting natural
resources of Afghanistan whereas USA alone is spending billions of dollars in
Afghanistan. Moreover with present large economy due to globalization, China
does not have option, to isolate itself and withdraw in the shell of
‘middle kingdom’, as it had up to 1980. This predicament about natural
resources is bound to bring China in serious dispute and confrontation with
‘League of Democracies’ lead by USA & it’s Western Allies, if not so
much on the issue of human rights & freedom.

(10)- Regarding two powers (economic and men power) on which China is
supposed to bank as per Kissinger:-

(i)- Despite likely further economical rise of China for some more time, the
lead in military affairs and economy will be ultimately decided by advance in
Science & Technology. Moreover there is no other human group on earth which
can surpass USA & its western allies in the advance of Science & Technology.

(ii)- So far USA has been assailing China’s monetary and economic policy
in terms of its adverse effect on the economy of USA (foreign trade imbalance
etc) and of its allies and on world economy. But in addition to history of
unease in Tibet and Xingjian, economical studies of China by western world
will cause resentment in other parts of China too as it is bound to show the
disparities among and economic stagnation of Chinese also.

With China in said serious dispute and confrontation with ‘League of
Democracies’ and with the history of huge support to Taiwan by Americans &
their Congress, the US Government will not hesitate in disowning ‘three
communiqués’ which support ‘One China’. Also Taiwan may exploit these
developments to aspire for ‘two China’ with claim on lower half of China.

(11)- With Dalai Lama & Tibetans in India and humiliating defeat in 1962
war, India may be crucial factor to be exploited by US lead ‘League of
Democracies’ in the emergence of ‘Two China’.

(12)- India did not intervene militarily to retrieve its territory of
‘Pakistan Administered Kashmir’ during 1980s when USSR was fighting with
USA in Afghanistan, though it could have changed to some extent the out come
of cold war in favor of USSR (to which India owes its victory in 1971 war
with Pakistan in liberating Bangladesh). This Indian intervention could also
have avoided the problem of terrorism (which has claimed thousands of life)
in Kashmir after end of war in Afghanistan by fundamentalist returning from
Afghanistan. But regarding Kashmir India has been defensive and apologetic
from the beginning due to democratic reasons especially after towering
Kashmiri leader Sheikh Abdullah started criticizing India. But with China,
matter is different.

(13)- Any body who thinks that Hindu majority India will forget the
humiliating defeat and loss of territory during 1962 Indo – China war then
he is big zero in understanding the way of life of Hindus. Nothing will be
more gratifying to Indians than to see another arch enemy China breaking up
in two Chinas after India successfully broke Pakistan in two (Pakistan and
Bangladesh) in 1971. The people who talk about non-aggressive and
non-militant nature of Hindus have to keep in mind only the liberation of Goa
from Portugal by India in 1961.

(14)- Of-course no one can expect Russia and Japan (the old war lords of Word
Wars and Cold War) to remain passive spectators during said turbulences in
their vicinity, having extremely important effect on their vital interests.
Especially given the fact of historical territorial adjustments & incursions
of China’s present territory by these veteran war lords.

Yours truly

Hem Raj Jain

Author of “Betrayal of Americanism”

Mankato, MN - 56001, USA

No answers posted yet
Share this with your friends